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Cha, H S and O’Connor, J T (2005) Optimizing Implementation of Value Management Processes for Capital Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 239–51.

Darren Graham, L, Smith, S D and Dunlop, P (2005) Lognormal Distribution Provides an Optimum Representation of the Concrete Delivery and Placement Process. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 230–8.

Dikmen, I, Birgonul, M T and Kiziltas, S (2005) Prediction of Organizational Effectiveness in Construction Companies. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 252–61.

Elhakeem, A and Hegazy, T (2005) Graphical Approach for Manpower Planning in Infrastructure Networks. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 168–75.

Hinze, J, Huang, X and Terry, L (2005) The Nature of Struck-by Accidents. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 262–8.

Kajewski, S L (2005) Multilevel Formwork Load Distribution with Posttensioned Slabs. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 203–10.

Kazaz, A and Birgonul, M T (2005) Determination of Quality Level in Mass Housing Projects in Turkey. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 195–202.

Love, P E D, Tse, R Y C and Edwards, D J (2005) Time–Cost Relationships in Australian Building Construction Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 187–94.

Ping Ho, S (2005) Bid Compensation Decision Model for Projects with Costly Bid Preparation. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 151–9.

Schexnayder, C, Knutson, K and Fente, J (2005) Describing a Beta Probability Distribution Function for Construction Simulation. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 221–9.

Shen, L Y and Wu, Y Z (2005) Risk Concession Model for Build/Operate/Transfer Contract Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 211–20.

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Risk analysis; Build/operate/transfer; Simulation; Monte Carlo method; Contracts; Project management;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2005)131:2(211)
  • Abstract:
    This paper extends the build–operate–transfer (BOT) concession model (BOTCcM) to establishing a risk concession model for BOT contract projects. The decision for a concession period is one of the most important decisions in determining a BOT contract. BOTCcM presents an alternative method to assist in determining a concession period that can protect the basic interests of both the investor and the government concerned. However, there is a major limitation in using the model, namely it gives no consideration to the impacts of risks on the estimation of various economic variables in the model. This study considers the risk impacts to the BOTCcM model and presents an additional risk concession model. This model provides an approach for formulating a concession period to consider the impacts of risks and, at the same time, protect the basic interests of both the investor and the government concerned. A hypothetical case is used to show the procedures of formulating the risk concession period through the assistance of the Monte Carlo simulation method.

Walsh, K D, Sawhney, A and Brown, A (2005) International Comparison of Cost for the Construction Sector: Purchasing Power Parity. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 160–7.

Zheng, D X M and Ng, S T (2005) Stochastic Time–Cost Optimization Model Incorporating Fuzzy Sets Theory and Nonreplaceable Front. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(02), 176–86.